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Upcoming raising rates  

2011-06-08 10:55:55|  分类: 随笔 |  标签: |举报 |字号 订阅

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The recent market panic breaks 27 points, make market integer pass the continuing decline of power become whole motivation, plus a short uncertainty and outer factors further hikes coming, makes worry that didn't look so give force rebound aspect, but stocks opportunity looks nice, but the difficulty of actual operation and real earnings degree were difficult to guarantee, in such a situation, we see, June 14 (Tuesday), the national bureau of economic data will be published in May, 25 offices prediction mean reach 5.4%, more many agencies expected CPI is expected to reach 5.5%, refresh 34 months since this weekend, the market is expected to record rates can be very large.

Market is very subtle and embarrassing situation, we carefully combed many factors, it looks like it is to let a person feel reverential awe, first we view, the most important point in time right now is the end of June, the U.S. quantitative easing could tighten to change integral global market liquidity, and currently speculation, but are in U.S. economic appear some problem hint, it may be that the global economic recovery without imagination to drag as good, and might again continued use of quantitative easing, so the result of I think self-evident, secondly, is now not only is ShangJiaoSuo or CSRC for international board, and recently, hugely unpopular, regardless of the actual its influence, good or bad, because there are corresponding measures and management measures, but simply from psychological analysis, pressure is the direct and comparison, this injuriously may be unable to heart and rebound again, may be more worried about is what everyone in Europe debt relief Wall Street plan opposition and questioned, make such psychological fear increased global economic slow down shadow, plus domestic for our high inflation and economic growth cannot be solved the downturn reached an agreement, in such a situation and premise, wants to set up big prices may not, want to qualify obvious play litres also not reality, can be a shares, but the chance to qualify of instant control positions and bands good relations between good things, though there are also qualify, shareholders have additional stock, new funds are positive positions, but for environment and big market, those who appear than not so heavy, no matter how, I still firm I continued for two quarter point of view.

But at the same time, we also found that the people's bank of China on Friday "issued by the Chinese financial stability report (2011)" said that this year will continue to implement the proactive fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy in the future work, the key is to expand financial direct financing scale, the central bank will pay more attention to social financing for gross index. The report finds that 2011, China's economy has maintained fast yet steady growth in international and domestic challenges facing, need to implement the proactive fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy, from the Angle of social financing amount of economy measure of financial support and increasing direct financing scale, etc. According to media reports, outside of Japan, according to the ministry of finance and foreign exchange reserves for the end of May 1.139 trillion dollars, the balance is increased 39.75 billion dollars last month, three consecutive months, after rising another all-time highs following last month, as it seems to tell us, even in simple change policies, strength and sustained degree is not optimistic, than imagination in such expectations, the market whether dash and mid-term will all further treated with caution, out of the market activation popularity besides, still can further continue to support rising power, then where is still looking for node, whether performance and economic growth, either capital or market is falling attitude in repeated amplitude, proving that a fact that gradual consolidation continues, band restoration is common form and technology situation, but overall arrangement cycle also serious face.

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